This year it looks like a combination of water temp (obvious) AND salinity. Due to lack of rain there has been some out of the ordinary species caught in the NE river and the upper reaches of the bay. this includes blues, spot, croakers, and puppy drum. Seems like the usual mark for reds is point lookout, the flats and NE river are well north, enough to cause a delayed arrival of about 7-10 days. It takes the stripers about 17-20 days from the peak of the flats spawn to the peak of the
AI run. Just some info to chew on...
Also jellyfish in the inner harbor in Balt. Weird year.
Big stripers reported in Montauk this weekend, it may be a while though because there was tons of bait reported as well. It'd be nice to get a nice cold water line coming down the coast this year to add some predictability to the fall run. Seems like last year it went Nov - eary Jan with fish caught just about all the way through. Makes it tough to time.